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|Title:||Real Time Multi-Model Ensemble Dispersion Forecasting and Model Evaluation for Emergency Response|
|Authors:||GALMARINI STEFANO; BIANCONI ROBERTO|
|Citation:||1st Joint Emergency Preparedness and Response/Robotic and Remote Systems Topical Meeting - ISBN 089448-692-6 p. 134-138|
|Publisher:||American Nuclear Society|
|Type:||Articles in periodicals and books|
|Abstract:||The paper describes the activity conducted lately towards the coupling of ENSEMBLE and EURDEP. The ENSEMBLE-EURDEP system is a unique and very powerful facility that exploits the advantages of real-time monitoring, international monitoring and modeling data exchange, ensemble dispersion forecasting and real-time forecast evaluation. The new system allows: to evaluate real-time any of the predictions produced at national level; to select the predictions that reproduced the event occurrence correctly; to use of the latter to forecast its evolution; to share this information at international level. With ENSEMBLE-EURDEP a considerable harmonization of national practices for emergency response by exploiting all the information available in the early phase of an event. Keywords: Ensemble dispersion forecasting, ENSEMBLE, radioactivity monitoring EURDEP, real-time model to measurements comparison|
|JRC Directorate:||Sustainable Resources|
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