Title: Russian Gas Imports in Europe - How Does Gazprom Reliability Change the Game?
Authors: MORBEE JORISPROOST Stef
Citation: ENERGY JOURNAL vol. 31 no. 4 p. 79-110
Publisher: INT ASSOC ENERGY ECONOMICS
Publication Year: 2010
JRC N°: JRC55628
ISSN: 0195-6574
URI: http://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC55628
Type: Articles in Journals
Abstract: Europe's dependence on Russian gas imports has been the subject of increasing political concern after gas conflicts between Russia and Ukraine in 2006 and 2009. This paper assesses the potential impact of Russian unreliability on the European gas market, and how it affects European gas import strategy. We also study to what extent Europe should invest in strategic gas storage capacity to mitigate the effects of possible Russian unreliability. The European gas import market is described by differentiated competition between Russia and a - more reliable - competitive fringe of other exporters. The results show that Russian contract volumes and prices decline significantly as a function of unreliability, so that not only Europe but also Russia suffers if Russia's unreliability increases. For Europe, buying gas from more reliable suppliers at a price premium turns out to be generally more attractive than building strategic gas storage capacity.
JRC Institute:Institute for Energy and Transport

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