Title: The Risk Adjusted Financial Costs of Photovoltaics
Authors: SZABO SandorJAEGER-WALDAU ArnulfSZABO Laszlo
Citation: ENERGY POLICY vol. 38 no. 7 p. 3807-3819
Publisher: ELSEVIER SCI LTD
Publication Year: 2010
JRC N°: JRC56177
ISSN: 0301-4215
URI: www.elsevier.com/locate/enpol
http://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC56177
DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2010.03.001
Type: Articles in Journals
Abstract: Recent analyses show significant differences in the levelised photovoltaics (PV) electricity cost calculations. The present paper points out that no unique or absolute cost figure can be justified, the correct solution is to use a range of cost figures that is determined in a dynamic power portfolio interaction within the financial scheme, support mechanism and industry cost reduction. The paper draws attention to the increasing role of financial investors in the PV segment of the renewable energy market and the importance they attribute to the risks of all options in power generation portfolio. Based on these trends, a former version of a financing model is adapted to project the energy mix changes in the EU electricity market due to investors behaviour with different risk tolerance/aversion. The dynamic process of translating these risks into the return expectation in the financial appraisal and investment decision making is also introduced. By doing this the paper presents a potential electricity market trend, the associated risk perception and classification. The possible risk mitigation tasks for all stakeholders in the PV market are summarised which aims to avoid the burden of excessive risk premiums in this market segment.
JRC Institute:Institute for Energy and Transport

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