Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:
|Title:||Biofuels: A model based assessment under uncertainty applying the Monte Carlo method|
|Authors:||SCHADE BURKHARD; WIESENTHAL Tobias|
|Citation:||JOURNAL OF POLICY MODELING vol. 33 no. 1 p. 92-126|
|Publisher:||ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC|
|JRC Publication N°:||JRC56690|
|Type:||Articles in Journals|
|Abstract:||The deployment of biofuels depends on a variety of factors, some of which are inherently uncertain such as the outlook on the oil and feedstock prices or progress in advanced biofuel conversion technologies. The present paper systematically assesses the response of a biofuel simulation model under uncertainty, making use of the Monte Carlo method. On this basis, the expected opportunity losses are calculated for two theoretical biofuel policies. The paper demonstrates that such an approach allows ranking distinct policy options with regard to their risk levels despite the prevalence of important uncertainties in parameters.|
|JRC Institute:||Institute for Prospective Technological Studies|
Files in This Item:
There are no files associated with this item.
Items in repository are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.