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|Title:||Integrated Assessment of Agricultural Policies with Dynamic Land Use Change Modelling|
|Authors:||VAN DELDEN Hedwig; STUCZYNSKI Tomasz; CIAIAN Pavel; PARACCHINI Maria-Luisa; HURKENS Jelle; LOPATKA Artur; SHI Yu-E; CALVO Silvia; VAN VLIET Jasper; VANHOUT Roel; PRIETO Oscar Gomez|
|Citation:||ECOLOGICAL MODELLING vol. 221 no. 18 p. 2153-2166|
|Publisher:||ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV|
|Type:||Articles in periodicals and books|
|Abstract:||With about half of its territory being farmed, agriculture is the main land use in the European Union (EU). As over 10% of the total EU manufacturing output comes from the agri-food sector, it also is an economic factor of great importance. Moreover, EU policy in this sector has far-reaching consequences ranging from the EU's status as a global trade partner to landscape preservation and development. The LUMOCAP Policy Support System is targeted towards policy makers in the European Commission (EC) and its Member States (MS) and aims to provide support in the field of sustainable agricultural and rural development. To this end it incorporates an integrated model with socio-economic and bio-physical processes, operating at different spatial scales. For supporting integrated assessment, a large number of policy levers is included as inputs for these models and outputs are transformed into policy-relevant social, economic and environmental indicators. The whole system is framed in a flexible, modular and easy to use software package that is useable for process experts and policy-analysts alike. This paper describes the integrated model, the individual models and a first calibration of the system. It demonstrates the system's behaviour for typical scenario runs and concludes with a reflection on the current status of the system and some recommendations for further development.|
|JRC Institute:||Institute for Prospective Technological Studies|
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