Title: Assessing the Impact of Integrated Personal Health and Care Services: the Need for Modelling
Authors: CODAGNONE CRISTIANOMAGHIROS IoannisBROSTER DavidLUPIAÑEZ VILLANUEVA FRANCISCOLLUCH MARIA
Publisher: Publications Office of the European Union
Publication Year: 2011
JRC N°: JRC62546
ISBN: 978-92-79-20482-1
ISSN: 1831-9424
Other Identifiers: EUR 24852 EN
OPOCE LF-NA-24852-EN-N
URI: http://ipts.jrc.ec.europa.eu/publications/pub.cfm?id=4439
http://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC62546
DOI: 10.2791/59535
Type: EUR - Scientific and Technical Research Reports
Abstract: In Europe Public expenditure for healthcare and Long-Term Care (LTC) currently absorbs 6.8% of GDP and without innovative cost containment measures could almost double by 2050 and reach 12.8% of GDP due to several socio-economic and cultural trends. This challenge can be turned into an opportunity for inclusive innovation and growth if the potential of ICT would be fully exploited to deliver personal health and social care services to prevent and manage chronic diseases (i.e. remote monitoring and treatment) or to ensure a dignified and independent living at home for the elderly (i.e. Ambient Assisted Living, AAL). This potential is fully recognised in both the EU2020 Strategy and in the new Digital Agenda for Europe, and one of the first European Innovation Partnership in 2011 will focus on Health and Ageing and related services. This favourable context, however, suffers from a scientific gap with important strategic implications for policy making: there exists currently no micro or macro economic empirical or modelling analysis that would enable policy makers to either demonstrate ex post the impact of Health&Care services or to simulate ex ante their potential impacts. Lacking this support it is at times difficult to win traditional resistance to innovation and push full adoption of such services in Europe. This research explored the availability of tools and methods, both for macro- and micro- modelling tools and processes, assessed their implications, challenges and opportunities and reports on its findings. The paper concludes by laying the foundations for proposing a new research plan that would aim at filling the scientific and policy relevant gap by proposing a hands-on modelling exercise to study the impacts in one country for on chronic disease.
JRC Institute:Institute for Prospective Technological Studies

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