Title: MARS Bulletin Vol.19 No.6 (2011) - Agrometeorological analysis, crop monitoring and yield forecast
Authors: BARUTH BettinaBOJANOWSKI JedrzejBUSSAY ATTILADUVEILLER BOGDAN GRÉGORY HENRY EEL AYDAM MOHAMEDLOPEZ LOZANO RAULROSENMUND AlexandraSEGUINI LorenzoBETTIO Manola
Editors: EL AYDAM MOHAMED
BARUTH Bettina
NIEMEYER Stefan
Publisher: Publications Office of the European Union
Publication Year: 2011
JRC N°: JRC64878
ISSN: 1831-9793
Other Identifiers: EUR 23298 EN
OPOCE LB-AM-11-006-EN-C
URI: http://mars.jrc.ec.europa.eu/mars/About-us/AGRI4CAST/MARS-Bulletins-for-Europe
http://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC64878
Type: EUR - Scientific and Technical Research Reports
Abstract: Western Europe experienced two prevailing events – warm temperatures in April leading to a large GDD surplus, accelerating crop development and a pronounced dry spell from March onwards leading to critical soil moisture values in the United Kingdom, Benelux, France, Germany and northern Italy. Rainfall is now urgently needed preventing a further reduction of yield potentials. The Mediterranean countries on the contrary received beneficial rainfall during this period and the temperatures were quite favourable especially in March. Winter crops yields at this stage are promising. The countries around the Black Sea experienced a rather cold period and in general a water surplus. The crop development is normal or slightly delayed and there are good soil moisture conditions throughout the countries. At EU27 level, the perspective for yield cereals is currently comparable to both last year’s crop season and the 5-years average. The total cereal production is estimated to be 269,6 Mt (a decrease of -3.5% in comparison to the last 5-years average). This forecast could be subject to a further sharp reduction if the weather conditions remain unfavourable.
JRC Institute:Institute for Environment and Sustainability

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