Title: Global projections for anthropogenic reactive nitrogen emissions to the atmosphere: an assessment of scenarios in the scientific literature
Authors: VAN VUUREN DetlevBOUWMAN L.SMITH StephenDENTENER Franciscus
Citation: CURRENT OPINION IN ENVIRONMENTAL SUSTAINABILITY vol. 3 no. 5 p. 359–369
Publisher: ELSEVIER SCI LTD
Publication Year: 2011
JRC N°: JRC66387
ISSN: 1877-3435
URI: http://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC66387
DOI: 10.1016/j.cosust.2011.08.014
Type: Articles in Journals
Abstract: Most long-term scenarios of global reactive nitrogen (Nr) emissions to the atmosphere are produced by Integrated Assessment Models in the context of climate change assessments. These scenarios indicate that these global Nr emissions are likely to increase in the next decades, followed by a stabilization or decline. Critical factors for future Nr emissions are the development of the underlying drivers (especially fertilizer use, animal husbandry, transport, power generation and fires), air pollution control and climate policies. The new scenarios made for climate change research and assessment, the Representative Concentration Pathways – RCPs, seem not fully representative of the range of possible Nr emission projections. A more focused development of scenarios for air pollution may be needed to improve both the relevance and quality of the scenarios for research and assessment of air pollution (and possibly short term climate change).
JRC Institute:Institute for Environment and Sustainability

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