Title: Facing the Future: Scanning, Synthesizing and Sense-Making in Horizon Scanning
Authors: KONNOLA TottiSALO AhtiCAGNIN CristianoCARABIAS VicenteVILKKUMAA Eeva
Citation: SCIENCE AND PUBLIC POLICY vol. 39 no. 2 p. 222–231
Publisher: BEECH TREE PUBLISHING
Publication Year: 2012
JRC Publication N°: JRC69485
ISSN: 0302-3427
URI: http://spp.oxfordjournals.org/content/39/2/222.full
http://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC69485
DOI: 10.1093/scipol/scs021
Type: Articles in Journals
Abstract: In this paper, we discuss key issues in harnessing horizon scanning for the shaping of systemic policies, particularly in the light of the foresight exercise “Facing the Future: Time for the EU to Meet Global Challenges” which was carried out for the Bureau of European Policy Advisors. This exercise illustrates how horizon scanning can enable collective sense-making processes which assist in the identification of emerging signals and policy issues; the synthesis of such issues into encompassing clusters; and the interpretation of resulting clusters as an important step towards the coordinated development of joint policy measures. In order to achieve such objectives, horizon scanning can benefit from methods of multi-criteria decision making and network analysis for prioritizing, clustering and combining issues. Furthermore, these methods provide support for traceability, which in turn contributes to the enhanced transparency and legitimacy of foresight.
JRC Institute:Institute for Prospective Technological Studies

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