Title: Regionalization of demographic and economic projections: Trend and convergence scenarios from 2015 to 2060
Publisher: Publications Office of the European Union
Publication Year: 2016
JRC N°: JRC101386
ISBN: 978-92-79-58396-4 (online)
978-92-79-80138-9 (print)
ISSN: 1831-9424 (online)
1018-5593 (print)
Other Identifiers: EUR 27924
OP LB-NA-27924-EN-N (online)
OP LB-NA-27924-EN-C (print)
URI: http://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC101386
DOI: 10.2788/458769
Type: EUR - Scientific and Technical Research Reports
Abstract: Territorial cohesion or territorial disparities? Two alternative scenarios for regional growth. Demographic and economic projections are essential tools in many domains of policy making. They allow policymakers anticipating future trends and explore alternative scenarios, and provide the basis to assess impacts of policies. This report regionalizes recently published EU reference demographic and economic projections from country to NUTS3 level. Two alternative scenarios have been used to carry out the regionalization: ‘trend’ and ‘convergence’. In the trend scenario recent observed growth rates continue, whereas in the convergence scenario less developed regions grow faster than more developed ones. While the trend scenario accentuates current territorial disparities generating more concentration of production and population, the convergence scenario promotes a more balanced growth and therefore more territorial cohesion.
JRC Directorate:Sustainable Resources

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