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Projection to 2030 for setting emission reduction targets in the Southern Mediterranean Partner countries: An approach with a Business-as-Usual scenario

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The Covenant of Mayors for the Members of the Southern Neighbourhood (CoM South), which was launched in 2012, required an adaptation of the Covenant of Mayors (CoM) methodology to the local situation and a complete revision of the CoM Guidebook "How to develop a Sustainable Energy Action Plan (SEAP)". Such an adaptation was made by tackling in a more appropriate way the specific institutional and economic situation of the Southern Mediterranean countries involved in the initiative. This specific approach for CoM South Mediterranean countries is based on the commitment to a reduction of CO2 emissions with reference to a Business As Usual (BAU) emission scenario, instead of to the past or current emission situation. Adopting a Business As Usual approach allows the signatories to fulfil their aspiration for further development, by including social and economic progress in the calculation of the emissions projections. In a previous report dated 2013, a scientific region-specific BAU projection was applied to the calculation of CO2 and CO2 equivalent emission coefficients for 2020 for the Mediterranean area, using European Commission tools and data, from the CIRCE (Climate change and impact research: the Mediterranean environment) integrated project. In the process of extending the Covenant of Mayors action from the 2020 to the 2030 target year as part of the new integrated "Covenant of Mayors for Climate and Energy", an update and extension of the emission projections and coefficients for the current members of the Southern Neighbourhood (Algeria, Egypt, Israel, Jordan, Lebanon, Morocco, Palestine and Tunisia) are provided in this report.
2017-03-22
European Commission
JRC102551
978-92-79-66936-1,    978-92-79-55258-8,   
1831-9424,    1831-9424,   
EUR 28528,    OP KJ-NA-28528-EN-N,    OP KJ-NA-28528-FR-N,   
https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC102551,   
10.2760/174504,    10.2760/720856,   
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