Challenges of Global Agriculture in a Climate Change Context by 2050 (AgCLIM50)

This report presents a global integrated assessment of the range of potential economic impacts of climate change and stringent mitigation measures in the agricultural sector. The analysis employs five global multi-region multi-commodity models and covers selected combinations of socioeconomic storylines and climate signals by mid-century. Model inputs are harmonised by using the same projections for population and GDP growth, as well as relative biophysical crop yield changes due to climate change. Model results can differ depending on model characteristics and the specific quantitative implementations of the socioeconomic storylines.

VAN MEIJL Hans;  HAVLIK Petr;  LOTZE-CAMPEN Hermann;  STEHFEST Elke;  WITZKE Heinz Peter;  PEREZ DOMINGUEZ Ignacio;  BODIRSKY Benjamin L.;  VAN DIJK Michiel;  DOELMAN Jonathan;  FELLMANN Thomas;  HUMPENOEDER Florian;  LEVIN-KOOPMAN Jason;  MÜLLER Christoph;  POPP Alexander;  TABEAU Andrzej;  VALIN Hugo; 

PEREZ DOMINGUEZ Ignacio;  FELLMANN Thomas; 

2017-06-20

Publications Office of the European Union

JRC106835

978-92-79-69666-4,   

1831-9424,   

EUR 28649 EN,    OP KJ-NA-28649-EN-N,   

https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC106835,   

10.2760/772445,   

https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/bitstream/JRC106835/jrc106835_agclim50_jrc_science_for_policy_report.pdf