Title: Modelling the impacts of EU countries’ electric car deployment plans on atmospheric emissions and concentrations
Authors: GOMEZ VILCHEZ JONATANJULEA ANDREEA MARIAPEDUZZI EMANUELAPISONI ENRICOKRAUSE JETTESISKOS PELOPIDASTHIEL CHRISTIAN
Citation: EUROPEAN TRANSPORT RESEARCH REVIEW vol. 11 p. 40
Publisher: SPRINGER HEIDELBERG
Publication Year: 2019
JRC N°: JRC111998
ISSN: 1867-0717 (online)
URI: http://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC111998
DOI: 10.1186/s12544-019-0377-1
Type: Articles in periodicals and books
Abstract: The purpose of this work is to quantify key environmental impacts of electric vehicles deployment in the European Union. This is achieved by soft-linking three models (PRIMES-TREMOVE, DIONE and SHERPA) to explore a base and an alternative scenario. The alternative scenario draws on the assessment of the national policy frameworks for alternative fuels infrastructure requested by the Directive (2014/94/EU). Five environmental indicators are examined: tailpipe CO2, NOx and PM2.5 emissions as well as NO2 and PM2.5 urban background concentrations. By 2030, car travel activity is simulated to generate ca. 425 MtCO2/year in the EU28 under the alternative scenario. Compared to the base scenario, electric vehicles contribute to a 3% reduction in tailpipe CO2 emissions. Only two countries attain CO2 emission reductions greater than 10% in the model. The need for a higher level of policy ambition towards the deployment of less polluting vehicles in Europe is highlighted as a conclusion.
JRC Directorate:Energy, Transport and Climate

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