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dc.contributor.authorDEUTEN SEBASTIAANen_GB
dc.contributor.authorGOMEZ VILCHEZ JONATANen_GB
dc.contributor.authorTHIEL CHRISTIANen_GB
dc.date.accessioned2019-12-20T01:05:15Z-
dc.date.available2019-12-19en_GB
dc.date.available2019-12-20T01:05:15Z-
dc.date.created2019-12-17en_GB
dc.date.issued2020en_GB
dc.date.submitted2019-01-15en_GB
dc.identifier.citationTECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE vol. 151 p. 119847en_GB
dc.identifier.issn0040-1625 (online)en_GB
dc.identifier.urihttps://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC115397-
dc.description.abstractPast and future electric vehicle sales shares in the Netherlands and Norway are analysed with the Powertrain Technology Transition Market Agent Model. This system dynamics model was expanded to include the leading Norwegian car market and updated with recent data on policy incentives. Three model validation tests are discussed: the reproduction of past behaviour from 2010 till 2017, policy sensitivity, and feedback loop knockout analysis. Findings point in the direction that regulation on emission targets for manufacturers are necessary for a transition away from new sales of fossil fuel-based vehicles. Only strong incentives resulted in large sales shares of zero emission vehicles in the Netherlands and Norway.en_GB
dc.description.sponsorshipJRC.C.4-Sustainable Transporten_GB
dc.format.mediumOnlineen_GB
dc.languageENGen_GB
dc.publisherELSEVIER SCIENCE INCen_GB
dc.relation.ispartofseriesJRC115397en_GB
dc.titleAnalysis and testing of electric car incentive scenarios in the Netherlands and Norwayen_GB
dc.typeArticles in periodicals and booksen_GB
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.techfore.2019.119847 (online)en_GB
JRC Directorate:Energy, Transport and Climate

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