Reduced yield outlook for summer crops
The yield forecasts for almost all summer crops in the EU were revised downwards from the July forecast, but remain above or near the 5-year average. Compared to the figures reported in July, the main downward revisions occurred for summer crops in France, Romania, Bulgaria, Germany, the Benelux countries and Poland. By contrast, the yield forecast for soybeans was revised upwards, as very favourable conditions prevailed in northern Italy and Hungary.
Large parts of western and northern central Europe have been affected by a rain deficit since the beginning of July. Temperatures increased in these regions at the end of July, and a heatwave of seven to ten consecutive days occurred in the first half of August. The combination of limited water supply and high temperatures negatively affected summer crops, with expected reductions in yields.
In southern Ukraine and eastern parts of Romania and Bulgaria, the return of drought conditions negatively impacted summer crops, leading to the early senescence of maize and sunflower crops.
In contrast, summer crops benefited from a surplus of precipitation in many other parts of central Europe, eastern Italy, and western Romania.
BARUTH Bettina;
BASSU Simona;
BUSSAY Attila;
CEGLAR Andrej;
CERRANI Iacopo;
CHEMIN Yann;
DE PALMA Pierluca;
FUMAGALLI Davide;
LECERF Remi;
MANFRON Giacinto;
NISINI SCACCHIAFICHI Luigi;
PANARELLO Lorenzo;
RONCHETTI Giulia;
SEGUINI Lorenzo;
TORETI Andrea;
VAN DEN BERG Maurits;
VAN DER VELDE Marijn;
ZAJAC Zuzanna;
ZUCCHINI Antonio;
BIAVETTI Irene;
VAN DEN BERG Maurits;
BARUTH Bettina;
2020-12-18
Publications Office of the European Union
JRC120745
2443-8278 (online),
2443-826X (print),
OP KJ-AW-20-008-EN-N (online),
OP KJ-AW-20-008-EN-C (print),
https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC120745,
