Wind-generated ocean waves are key inputs for several studies and applications, both near the coast (coastal vulnerability
assessment, coastal structures design, harbor operativity) and off-shore (a.o. oil and gas production, ship routes, and
navigation safety). As such, the evaluation of trends in future wave climate is fundamental for the development of efficient
policies in the framework of climate change adaptation and mitigation measures. This study focuses on the Mediterranean
Sea, an area of primary interest, since it plays a crucial role in the worldwide maritime transport and it is highly populated
along all its coasts.We perform an analysis of wave climate changes using an ensemble of 7 models under emission scenario
RCP8.5, over the entire Mediterranean basin. Future projections of wave climate and their variability are analyzed taking
into account annual statistics of wave parameters, such as significant wave height, mean period, and mean direction. The
results show, on average, a decreasing trend of significant wave height and mean period, while the wave directions may be
characterized by a slight eastward shift.
DE LEO Francesco;
BESIO Giovanni;
MENTASCHI Lorenzo;
2021-06-30
SPRINGER HEIDELBERG
JRC120961
1616-7341 (online),
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10236-020-01419-8,
https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC120961,
10.1007/s10236-020-01419-8 (online),
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