Scenario analysis of PM2.5 and ozone impacts on health, crops and climate with TM5-FASST: A case study in the Western Balkans

The Western Balkans (WB) is a region in South-East Europe where the alignment of national legislations and policies with those of the European Union (EU) is in progress with the prospect of achieving the EU membership. Such process is crucial for air quality management considering that the levels of air pollution in this area are among the highest of Europe and affect neighbouring regions. With the aim of informing the design of air quality policies in the WB, the TM5-FAst Scenario Screening Tool (TM5- FASST) was used to estimate the trends of air quality (PM 2.5 and ozone) impacts on health, crops yields and climate from 2000 to 2050. To that end, five ECLIPSE V6b emission scenarios with different assumptions on population growth, deployment of technologies and policies were compared. The scenarios analysed depict a spectre ranging from the maximum benefits of combining ambitious air quality and climate policies to the impact of no implementing the currently adopted ones that provides a reference framework for the development of sustainable policies in the region.

BELIS Claudio;  VAN DINGENEN Rita;  KLIMONT Zbigniew;  DENTENER Franciscus; 

2022-08-23

ACADEMIC PRESS LTD- ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD

JRC122181

0301-4797 (online),   

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301479722013111?via%3Dihub,    https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC122181,   

10.1016/j.jenvman.2022.115738 (online),