A Business As Usual Emission Scenario Approach
The Regional Covenant of Mayors for Mediterranean (CoM Med) is an alliance of local municipalities from the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region, supporting cities committed to develop a climate resilient society. The CoM Med, supported by the European Commission, is part of the Global Covenant of Mayors (GCoM), the largest coalition of cities fighting against climate change. The JRC provides scientific and technical assistance to eight of the countries signing the CoM Med: Algeria, Egypt, Israel, Jordan, Lebanon, Morocco, Palestine and Tunisia. Based on the GCoM Common Reporting Framework, local governments are invited to develop a Sustainable Energy Access and Climate Action Plan (SEACAP), stating the climate and energy objectives they intend to achieve and the actions they will implement. With respect to the mitigation targets, the GCoM Common Reporting Framework requires the municipalities to set the local GHG emissions reduction objectives according to their Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs). The present report provides a summary of the NDCs for the MENA countries, including the mitigation sectors, the unconditional and conditional mitigation targets, the target year and the base year. In addition, the report presents a brief overview of the main national energy policies, to give a general picture of the contexts where the local climate plans will be implemented. Finally the report shows a methodology to calculate the local commitments to a reduction of GHG emissions with reference to a national Business As Usual (BAU) emission scenario. Based on the national BAU projection reported in the NDCs, the JRC has developed a methodology to estimate the maximum GHG emissions allowed in the target year 2030.
LO VULLO Eleonora;
PALERMO Valentina;
RIVAS CALVETE Silvia;
MONFORTI-FERRARIO Fabio;
BERTOLDI Paolo;
2021-07-12
Publications Office of the European Union
JRC124709
978-92-76-38413-7 (online),
1831-9424 (online),
EUR 30729 EN,
OP KJ-NA-30729-EN-N (online),
https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC124709,
10.2760/997551 (online),
