Air quality and related health impact in the UNECE region: source attribution and scenario analysis

The TM5-FAst Scenario Screening Tool (TM5-FASST) was used to study the influence of abatement policies within and outside the United Nations Economic Commission for Europe (UNECE) region on the exposure to O3 and PM2.5 and associated mortality in the UNECE countries. To that end, the impacts of pollutants derived from different geographic areas and activity sectors were evaluated using ECLIPSE V6b scenarios of air pollutant and greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reduction. The mortalities were attributed to O3 and PM2.5 following the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) approach and allocated to geographic areas (UNECE and non-UNECE) and activity sectors, including natural sources. In addition, a combination of runs designed for the purpose led to allocating exposure to O3 and related mortality to two families of precursors: NOx –VOC and CH4. Between 2020 and 2050, the impact of some UNECE anthropogenic sources on PM2.5-related mortality decreases progressively, in particular road transport, energy production and domestic combustion, while others, namely agriculture and industry, show an upward trend. Finally, the analysis of MFR scenarios confirms that abatement measures in line with UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and the Paris Agreement can lead to significant co-benefits between air quality and climate policies

BELIS Claudio;  VAN DINGENEN Rita; 

2023-09-25

COPERNICUS GESELLSCHAFT MBH

JRC131363

1680-7316 (online),   

https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/23/8225/2023/,    https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC131363,   

10.5194/acp-23-8225-2023 (online),