An Analysis of the Database Coverage of Industrial Accidents Involving Hazardous Materials in Europe.

The analysis is based on 535 unique accidents descriptions,of which 107 were fatal accidents,from seven accidents data bases covering the 9 year period from 1984 to 1992. 70% of the accident descriptions identified were found in one source only.This indicates that,at the best, about 30% of all accidents described may be found in a single data base. Two models were developed: the first model was based on ideas similar to chemical reaction kinetics,the second more related to estimation of animal population.The models predict an avarage of 87 accidents per year in contrast to the observed avarage of 59 accidents per year.For fatal accidents the models predict an avarage of 14 accidents per year,and the observed avarage is 12.

ROEMER Hans Gottb Erg; 

1995-03-15

JRC13163

https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC13163,