GDO Analytical Report
- Multi-annual precipitation deficits combined with above-average temperatures and a sequence of heatwaves are the cause of the long-running and extensive drought in central-southern South America.
- From August 2022 to March 2023 the drought has diminished in Brazil and moved southwards, now affecting mainly northern Argentina and Uruguay.
- Hydrology and vegetation are severely affected by the drought, with impacts on crops, rivers flow and energy production. Widespread impacts due to the drought can be linked to the estimated 3% GDP reduction in 2023 in Argentina.
- After three years of La Niña conditions, the tropical Pacific Ocean has entered neutral ENSO conditions and a transition to an El Niño phase is forecasted for the coming months.
- Seasonal forecasts point to warmer temperatures, close to average precipitation and lower than average river flows.
TORETI Andrea;
BAVERA Davide;
ACOSTA NAVARRO Juan;
ARIAS-MUÑOZ Carolina;
BARBOSA Paulo;
DE JAGER Alfred;
DI CIOLLO Chiara;
FIORAVANTI Guido;
GRIMALDI Stefania;
HRAST ESSENFELDER Arthur;
MAETENS Willem;
MAGNI Diego;
MASANTE Dario;
MAZZESCHI Marco;
MCCORMICK Niall;
SALAMON Peter;
SPINONI Jonathan;
2023-05-23
Publications Office of the European Union
JRC133788
978-92-68-03936-6 (online),
1831-9424 (online),
EUR 31522 EN,
OP KJ-NA-31-522-EN-N (online),
https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC133788,
10.2760/873366 (online),
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