International trade and Ukraine's pursuit of self-determination
In this research, we assess the international trade implications of Ukraine's pursuit of self-determination through the lens of the EU–Ukraine Association Agreement and the contemporaneous war with Russia in the years preceding the 2022 Russian Invasion. To do so, we construct a dataset with annual, bilateral export and import flows for Ukraine and a set of comparator countries at the 6-digit level of the Harmonised Tariff Schedule (HS) for years 2000–2019. Using this data, we nest a difference-in-difference design within a series of econometric gravity models to estimate the effects on the sectoral and geographic composition of Ukrainian trade. Our results indicate a major re-direction of exports towards the EU and away from Russia. Trade outcomes are one of many considerations that led to Ukraine's pursuit of EU integration.
BOYKO Natalia;
NES Kjersti;
SCHAEFER K. Aleks;
2024-04-05
WILEY
JRC134589
0378-5920 (online),
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/twec.13493,
https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC134589,
10.1111/twec.13493 (online),
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