The European Commission’s Competence Centre on Foresight at the Joint Research Centre has developed this Megatrends Assessment Tool, which uses 14 megatrends to examine how systemic change could impact the future of a chosen topic, in an accessible workshop. Megatrends are key drivers of change affecting all policy areas and every aspect of life (eg technology, climate change, geopolitical shifts, migration and so on). Because of the connections and interdependencies between megatrends, they should not be examined in isolation, hence 14 provides a sytemic view and helps to overcome silos and bias.
The participative workshop provides a framework to look at complexity and change in a systemic way, and to examine how developments might affect the longer-term future of the topic chosen. You can explore the future and anticipate how change could impact your topic area, with a view to getting better prepared. Potential future consequences can be explored, along with implications for policy (or specific actors). By doing this collective intelligence work, you can become better prepared for how a problem might evolve in the future, and subsequently if a policy objective is ‘future fit’ or if a new or revised
policy action or interventions are needed. You can also look at potential timelines, actors, wild cards, or pinpoint research needs.
WHYTE Jacqueline;
KNUTTI Maija;
WHYTE Jacqueline;
2024-05-17
Publications Office of the European Union
JRC136444
978-92-68-13907-3 (online),
978-92-68-13908-0 (print),
OP KJ-02-24-409-EN-N (online),
OP KJ-02-24-409-EN-C (print),
https://knowledge4policy.ec.europa.eu/foresight/megatrends-engagement-tools_en,
https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC136444,
10.2760/952999 (online),
10.2760/429962 (print),