An analysis of current and emerging risks
This report presents an analysis of current and emerging risks in Europe, highlighting the need for
a proactive and coordinated approach to risk anticipation, risk assessment and risk governance. In
response to the increasingly complex and interconnected risk landscape, the European Commission
and the High Representative have launched the EU Preparedness Union Strategy. This report aims
to support the strategy's objectives by providing a scientific and evidence-based foundation for
policy and operational decisions. It examines 47 risks and explores concepts such as cross-border
risks, emerging risks, and High-Impact Low-Probability (HILP) events. The report's methodology
involved a wide-ranging review of EU institutions' reports, scientific publications, and stakeholder
consultations, and provides a multi-faceted perspective on Europe's risk environment. A EU-wide
risk assessment framework is crucial; this report supports its development by fostering a shared
understanding of different risks and methodologies to assess them, laying the groundwork for a
more comprehensive and integrated multi-hazard risk assessment framework.
LENTINI Azzurra;
EKLUND Gustav;
CORBANE Christina;
ASIKAINEN Tommi;
RONCO Michele;
URSO Giuliana;
POLJANSEK Karmen;
SOLER GARRIDO Josep;
GRIESINGER Claudius Benedict;
REINA Vittorio;
SPIGOLON Roberto;
STERI Gary;
LINGE Jens;
KOTSEVA Bonka;
MASANTE Dario;
SANTINI Marzia;
PROIETTI Chiara;
BARANTIEV Damyan;
SALVITTI Valerio;
DESTRO Elisa;
MASTRONUNZIO Marco;
HRAST ESSENFELDER Arthur;
TORETI Andrea;
SALAMON Peter;
D'ANGELO Claudia;
VOUSDOUKAS Michail;
CRIPPA Monica;
PISONI Enrico;
BELIS Claudio;
CARRAVIERI Alice;
RUIZ-OREJÓN Luis Francisco;
MENDES Cláudia;
ROBUCHON Marine;
SANCHEZ ARJONA Irene;
TSIONIS Georgios;
SCHUH Lea;
SPAGNOLO Luigi;
ORFEI Lia;
PETRILLO Mauro;
KEPHALOPOULOS Stylianos;
COECKE Sandra;
ASCHBERGER Karin;
SCHIRINZI Gabriella;
MADDALON Ambra;
VALSESIA Andrea;
ARMAS Federica;
GUGLIELMELLI Antonio;
DE LA ROSA BLUL Juan Carlos;
MAGROTTI Giovanni;
CARDARILLI Monica;
PETIT Frederic;
THERON Julien;
DE ANGELIS Alessandra;
KRAUSMANN Elisabeth;
WOOD Maureen;
VAN WIJK Lorenzo;
KOUTELOS Konstantinos;
SCHVITZ Guy;
GALARIOTIS Ioannis;
GENTILE Chiara;
DE GIROLAMO Ludovica;
DUTA Ana-Maria;
CARAVAGGI Ivano;
THAU Anna;
BAGI Janos;
LARCHER Martin;
KARLOS Vasileios;
RUIZ MORENO Ana;
BARUTH Bettina;
REMBOLD Felix;
SEDANO Fernando;
SCIONTI Nicola;
SAN-MIGUEL Jesus;
DURRANT Tracy;
BOCA Roberto;
MAIANTI Pieralberto;
OOM Duarte;
BRANCO Alfredo;
DE RIGO Daniele;
SUAREZ MORENO Maria;
FERRARI Davide;
ROGLIA Elena;
BROGLIA Marco;
BELMONTE Martina;
PINGSDORF Julia;
KAJANDER Nina;
MAJORANO SARAPO Francesca;
GREIDANUS Harm;
MONTANARI Elia;
PICCININI Paola;
ROMAN CUESTA Rosa Maria;
DENTENER Frank;
GALMARINI Stefano;
DE GROEVE Tom;
MAENHOUT Greet;
2025-06-25
Publications Office of the European Union
JRC141673
978-92-68-28488-9 (online),
978-92-68-28491-9 (print),
1831-9424 (online),
1018-5593 (print),
EUR 40352,
OP KJ-01-25-328-EN-N (online),
OP KJ-01-25-328-EN-C (print),
https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC141673,
10.2760/0176850 (online),
10.2760/3565601 (print),
