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Challenges and opportunities for the EU labour market from AI development

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→ The European Commission adopted the Digital Europe Programme to equip the EU workforce with the necessary skills to cope with labour market changes induced from innovation in ad-vanced digital technologies as AI. → Clerical work and cognitive tasks are considered to be more exposed to AI substitution, whereas manual, operational, and technical tasks are comparatively less exposed. → AISE is a job-specific AI exposure metric based on data from financed start-ups whose output could potentially replace a job. → Results reveal the existence of a gap between potential and actual AI exposure, as start-ups are more likely to adopt AI development in niche tasks. → The AISE-based analysis reveals that cognitive jobs are heterogeneously AI-exposed, and exposure depends on advanced cognitive skills requirements. → Beyond technical feasibility and economic via-bility, ethical and social considerations and trust in AI capabilities determine job expo-sure to AI. → Considering EU countries’ structure of the la-bour market, Germany and Belgium are the most actually AI-exposed. The largest gap be-tween potential and actual exposure is de-tected for Sweden and Italy, the former be-ing more potentially AI-exposed than actu-ally. The opposite is true for Italy.
2025-04-24
European Commission
JRC141782
https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC141782,   
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