PANAP Insight Series – Issue 12 2025
The African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) holds significant potential to enhance Africa’s economic prospects by deepening integration and reducing reliance on non-African trading partners.
A new analysis, incorporating updated tariff offers and various other developments, indicates positive economic outcomes for Africa, including increases in GDP, household disposable income, investments, and intra-African trade.
Reducing non-tariff measures (NTMs) is crucial for realizing substantial benefits, with potential spillover effects to extra-African trade further amplifying gains.
The AfCFTA is expected to foster industrialization, with manufacturing output showing the most significant increases among sectors.
However, regional disparities in economic benefits and potential challenges such as decreased tariff revenues for some countries exist.
Complementary policies, effective NTM reduction, and strategic management of public revenue are essential for equitable and sustainable growth across the continent.
SIMOLA Antti;
BOYSEN Ole;
FERRARI Emanuele;
NECHIFOR Victor;
2025-12-02
European Commission
JRC143147
https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC143147,
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