The EU bioeconomy towards 2040
An exploratory baseline with a whole-economy, an agricultural and a bio-based industry model
The present report summarises the enhancements made with recognised (bioeconomy) economic modelling tools (MAGNET and AGMEMOD/BioMAT) to better capture the nuances of bio-based markets and provides a plausible medium-term baseline that combines the strengths of the simulation models. As such, this study is envisaged as an initial preparatory step for further scenario-based analyses that might serve as further insides into different pathways for the EU bioeconomy, in the event of the upcoming update of EU Bioeconomy Strategy and Action Plan expected at the end of 2025. The design of the modelling framework, which started in 2023, considers a range of modelling enhancements and alignments that are relevant to policy documents and topics.
PHILIPPIDIS George;
VAN LEEUWEN Myrna;
BARTELINGS Heleen;
SMEETS KRISTKOVA Zuzana;
LAQUAI Verena;
STURM Viktoriya;
ALVAREZ Rodrigo Xavier;
M'BAREK Robert;
2025-11-25
Publications Office of the European Union
JRC143688
978-92-68-32573-5 (online),
1831-9424 (online),
EUR 40487,
OP KJ-01-25-515-EN-N (online),
https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC143688,
10.2760/4403180 (online),
Additional supporting files
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