Clean Energy Technology Observatory: POTEnCIA CETO 2025 Scenario
Energy System Modelling For Clean Energy Technology Scenarios
This report portrays the POTEnCIA CETO 2025 Scenario, a deep decarbonisation pathway for the EU’s energy system. The scenario follows an energy technology perspective in close alignment with the general objectives of the European Climate Law. To model this scenario, the JRC-in-house developed POTEnCIA model has been used, allowing for an in-depth description of the individual technology projections until 2050 derived for the accompanying CETO 2025 technology reports. The report first outlines the intrinsic methodology of the POTEnCIA model and then lists key policies and data inputs considered for the development of the POTEnCIA CETO 2025 Scenario. The projected trends of supply and demand sectors of the EU energy system are visualized and analysed. The results indicate that key energy technologies like renewable energy sources, energy storage, electrification, and carbon capture, utilisation and storage, are essential for achieving the EU’s climate targets towards 2050.
NEUWAHL Frederik;
WEGENER Moritz;
SALVUCCI Raffaele;
JAXA-ROZEN Marc;
GEA BERMUDEZ Juan;
SIKORA Przemyslaw;
RÓZSAI Máté;
2025-11-21
Publications Office of the European Union
JRC143969
978-92-68-33800-1 (online),
1831-9424 (online),
EUR 40539,
OP KJ-01-25-580-EN-N (online),
https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC143969,
10.2760/8129676 (online),
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