Drought in East Africa January 2026
GDO Analytical Report
A severe drought has been gripping East Africa, particularly Somalia, southeastern Ethiopia, and eastern Kenya, with devastating consequences for the agricultural sector.
The drought is expected to cause crop failures and yield losses, exacerbating food insecurity and threatening the livelihood of millions of people.
Soil moisture levels are at historic lows, with vegetation conditions being severely affected by the lack of rainfall and by the high temperatures.
The humanitarian crisis is worsening, with 4.6 million people already affected and over 135,000 displaced in Somalia.
Seasonal forecasts offer little respite, with spots of drier-than-average conditions predicted for southern Somalia and southeastern Kenya in the coming months, but significant forecast uncertainty.
TORETI Andrea;
BAVERA Davide;
ACOSTA NAVARRO Juan;
MAGNI Diego;
FICCHÌ Andrea;
ACQUAFRESCA Laura;
BARBOSA Paulo;
DE JAGER Alfred;
FIORAVANTI Guido;
HRAST ESSENFELDER Arthur;
MAZZESCHI Marco;
VOLPI Danila;
2026-02-10
Publications Office of the European Union
JRC145727
978-92-68-37238-8 (online),
1831-9424 (online),
EUR 40631,
OP KJ-01-26-057-EN-N (online),
https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC145727,
10.2760/5251406 (online),
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