GDO analytical report
Drought conditions are quickly deteriorating in Madagascar.
The compound effect of poor precipitation (mainly over north-east) and above average temperatures (mainly over south-west) has been the driver of the drought, with severe dry conditions observed over most of the country.
Temperature anomalies are severely warmer than average over south-western Madagascar further exacerbating the drought conditions in these areas.
Soil moisture is below normal over most of Madagascar, with negative impacts on vegetation and crops.
Continued monitoring is needed to assess the full extent of the damage.
Drought is expected to worsen in most of Madagascar and in particular in the north-eastern regions, with warmer and drier conditions forecasted for the next months. River flow forecast points to low values at the basin scale and extremely low values at the river scale
TORETI Andrea;
BAVERA Davide;
MAGNI Diego;
SANTOS NUNES Sergio;
ACOSTA NAVARRO Juan;
KERDILES Herve;
REMBOLD Felix;
SCHAFFHAUSER Timo;
SALAMON Peter;
2026-07-02
Publications Office of the European Union
JRC147609
978-92-68-41163-6 (online),
1831-9424 (online),
EUR 40773,
OP KJ-01-26-284-EN-N (online),
https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC147609,
10.2760/3787552 (online),
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