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The objective of this paper is to show how probabilistic reliability can be assessed for complex systems in the absence of statistical data on their operating experience, based on performance evaluation of dominant underlying physical processes. The approach is to distinguish between functional and performance probabilities when dealing with quantification of the overall probability of a system to perform a given function in a given period of time (reliability). A practical example of this method is included and general conclusions are drawn regarding reliability estimation of complex, interconnected systems, such as infrastructures.
2006-01-24
ELSEVIER SCI LTD
JRC30411
https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC30411,   
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