Real-time Monitoring Data for Ensemble Dispersion Forecast Evaluation: Coupling ENSEMBLE and EURDEP

The paper describes the activity conducted lately towards the coupling of ENSEMBLE and EURDEP. The ENSEMBLE-EURDEP system is a unique and very powerful facility that exploits the advantages of real-time monitoring, international monitoring and modeling data exchange, ensemble dispersion forecasting and real-time forecast evaluation. The new system allows: to evaluate real-time any of the predictions produced at national level; to select the predictions that reproduced the event occurrence correctly; to use of the latter to forecast its evolution; to share this information at international level. With ENSEMBLE-EURDEP a considerable harmonization of national practices for emergency response by exploiting all the information available in the early phase of an event. Keywords: Ensemble dispersion forecasting, ENSEMBLE, radioactivity monitoring EURDEP, real-time model to measurements comparison

GALMARINI Stefano;  BIANCONI Roberto; 

2009-12-21

International Atomic Energy Agency - IAEA

JRC31439

https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC31439,