Workshop on the Use of Expert Judgment in Decision-making - Summary and Main Conclusions

CEA-Cadarache and JRC-Petten, given their interest on general issues regarding uncertainty in technology systems, performed in the past deep literature reviews in this area, which showed a large diversity of available methodologies. Three main conclusions could be obtained from that review: 1) The majority of available methodologies present restricted applicability, 2) there is a remarkable lack of exchanges between specialists in different application areas and 3) there is a real scarcity of papers about the impact of the choice of an expert judgement method in the decision-making processes. In this context, both CEA/Cadarache and JRC-IE organized a “workshop on the use of expert judgment in decision making” last June 2005; the first to our knowledge on this specific topic. The objectives of this workshop were to create an exchange forum around the three ideas previously mentioned and to gather a first state of the art, in order to identify the needs for R&D. This workshop brought together approximately 55 par-ticipants, from different industry sectors (energy, both nuclear and non-nuclear, food, civil engineering and communication among others), universities, research organizations and technical support organizations. In this paper we provide a summary of this workshop, highlighting main contributions and providing informa-tion about identified main areas of interest and controversy.

DEVICTOR Nicolas; 

BOLADO LAVIN Ricardo; 

2006-10-04

Taylor & Francis Group

JRC33699

https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC33699,