Investment Behaviour of Polish Farmers Facing Policy and Market Scenarios

The objective of this paper is to analyse the farm strategies and investment behaviour of Polish farmers facing different markets and policy scenarios, with a particular focus on the effects of CAP. The paper is based on a survey of Polish farmers carried out in 2006 on a sample of 63 farms. Farmers where selected in order to fit in the intersection of the following categories: different altitudes (plain/mountain); different specialisation (arable crops, livestock, trees), different technology (conventional, organic). The survey includes information about farm and household structure, expectations, reaction to planned and intended investment, as well as about potential reforms such as decoupling of EU payments. In a second stage, selected farm-households were modelled using multicriteria dynamic programming. Models were used to simulate household behaviour facing different scenarios. Scenarios concern policy (decoupling and reduction of payments options) and markets (reduction of prices).

GOMEZ Y PALOMA Sergio; 

2008-12-11

Serbian Association of Agricultural Economists

JRC36345

https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC36345,