An official website of the European Union How do you know?      
European Commission logo
JRC Publications Repository Menu

Assessing Operational Forecasting Skill of EFAS

cover
The European Flood Alert System (EFAS) is now producing probabilistic hydrological forecasts in pre-operational mode for over 2 years at the European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC). EFAS is aiming at increasing preparedness for floods in transnational European river basins by providing medium-range deterministic and probabilistic flood forecasting information between 3 to10 days in advance. It is providing EFAS information reports regarding forecasted riverine flood events to the collaborating national hydro-meteorological services. Memoranda of Understanding (MoU) for receiving these forecasts have been established for ca. 80% of the area of all European trans-national river basins. In this work 2 years of existing operational hydrological forecasts are being assessed statistically and skill of EFAS is analysed in several ways. The goal is to show where the strengths of such a large scale system lie but also where the limits of predictability and limits of skill scores in this context are.
2007-11-30
OPOCE
JRC37681
Language Citation
NameCountryCityType
Datasets
IDTitlePublic URL
Dataset collections
IDAcronymTitlePublic URL
Scripts / source codes
DescriptionPublic URL
Additional supporting files
File nameDescriptionFile type 
Show metadata record  Copy citation url to clipboard  Download BibTeX
Items published in the JRC Publications Repository are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated. Additional information: https://ec.europa.eu/info/legal-notice_en#copyright-notice