Securing the supply of energy has become a priority issue for political decision-makers. To assist them in this task, systematic methods are needed capable of assessing vulnerabilities to a system of such complexity as the energy supply network. Here we present a method (SES-RISK) that uses probabilistic risk assessment in order to assess the impact of threats to the energy supply system. The energy system is composed of energy sources (nuclear, fossil and renewable energy) and input (e.g. primary energy supply network) and output grids (the electricity network). It is modeled as subsystems able to cope with technical, economical, terrorist and socio-political challenges. Dependencies between subsystems are explicitly taken into account. The model is capable of incorporating quantitative and qualitative expert view data. The results are presented in the form of suggested actions based on the identified weaknesses of the network.
SERBANESCU Dan;
VETERE ARELLANO Ana Lisa;
2008-11-26
CRC Press Balkema
JRC41265
https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC41265,
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