Multi-model ENSEMBLE Analysis of the ETEX-2 Experiment

In this paper we investigate the results of multi-model simulations performed on the ETEX-2 experiment by the ENSEMBLE modelling community. New sets of results were created by taking different percentiles of the distribution of the models¿ predicted values. Both single models and the new constructed sets of results have been compared with the observed data. While a similar comparison for the ETEX-1 case indicated the median model was superior to any single model, for the ETEX-2 case, the situation is more complex and no absolute and clear conclusions can be obtained. However, for emergency response purposes the median model still can be considered as a useful compromise also for complicated situation such is the ETEX-2 experiment. Keywords: multi-model ensemble, percentile models.

POTEMPSKI Slawomir;  GALMARINI Stefano;  ADDIS R.;  ASTRUP P.;  BADER S.;  BELLASIO R.;  BIANCONI Roberto;  BONNARDOT F.;  BUCKLEY R.;  DAMOURS R.;  VAN DIJK A.;  GEERTSEMA G.;  JONES A.;  KAUFMANN P.;  PECHINGER U.;  PERSSON C.;  POLREICH E.;  PRODONOVA M.;  ROBERTSON L.;  SRRENSEN J.;  SYRAKOV D.; 

2009-01-23

PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD

JRC41493

1352-2310,   

https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC41493,   

10.1016/j.atmosenv.2008.07.027,