Aims, Challenges and Progress of the Hydrological Ensemble Prediction Experiment (HEPEX) - Following the 3rd HEPEX Workshop Held in Stresa 27-29th June 2007

Over the past several years users of meteorological weather forecasting data have begun to realize the benefit of quantifying the uncertainty associated with forecasts rather than relying on single value forecasts for the most probable scenario. At the same time, hydrologists and water managers have begun to explore the potential benefit of ensemble prediction systems for hydrological applications. The Hydrologic Ensemble Prediction EXperiment (HEPEX), established in 2004, is an international project that aims to foster the development of advanced probabilistic hydrologic forecast techniques and of corresponding decision making tools. During the past 3 years, HEPEX has provided discussion opportunities for hydrological and meteorological scientists involved in the development, testing and operational management of forecasting systems, and end-users. During the third international workshop on HEPEX, organized in Stresa, Italy, on 27-29th June 2007, results from previously defined test-bed projects were presented, some key scientific questions were discussed, and some additional test-bed projects were proposed. This manuscript summarizes the project status after the conclusion of the 3rd HEPEX WS.

THIELEN DEL POZO Jutta;  SCHAAKE John;  HARTMANN Rob;  BUIZZA Roberto; 

2008-07-21

WILEY-V C H VERLAG GMBH

JRC41960

1530-261X,   

https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC41960,   

10.1002/asl.168,