Title: Efas Forecasts for the March-April 2006 Flood in the Czech Part of the Elbe River Basin - A Case Study
Authors: YOUNIS JALALRAMOS M-H.THIELEN DEL POZO JUTTA
Citation: ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE LETTERS vol. 9 no. 1 p. 88-94
Publisher: WILEY-V C H VERLAG GMBH
Publication Year: 2008
JRC N°: JRC42360
ISSN: 1530-261X
URI: http://www.interscience.wiley.com
http://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC42360
DOI: 10.1002/asl.179
Type: Articles in periodicals and books
Abstract: In spring 2006, the Elbe river basin was hit by severe snowmelt-driven floods. This paper investigates the performance of the European Flood Alert System (EFAS) forecasts for this event in the Czech part of the Elbe river basin. EFAS runs pre-operationally at the European Commission DG Joint Research Centre where it is developed and tested in close collaboration with the National hydrological services. The analysis shows that EFAS forecasts were able to detect a signal of probability of flooding up to 8-10 days in advance. The added value of ensemble forecasts to early flood warning is illustrated.
JRC Directorate:Sustainable Resources

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