An analysis of 23 years of NDVI and 32 years of precipitation data on a province level for the Horn of Africa with respect to population and agriculture
Abstract - Concerns about the effects of climate change for
the poorest countries in the world have been repeatedly
expressed. In particular the focus has been on the African
Continent. This research analyses the ECMWF
precipitation dataset for a period of 32 years and examines
the trends in NDVI from the AVHRR Global Area 8-km
resolution dataset for the last 23 years. These trends are
analysed for the agricultural domain using FAO¿s
AFRICOVER dataset. Particular trends in certain
provinces are highlighted and discussed. This analysis is
used to examine how the trends relate to the population and
the distribution of agricultural land. The work attempts to
answer the question as to which provinces in the Horn of
Africa with a high population density and a high proportion
of agricultural land will possibly experience major changes
if these trends continue.
FRITZ Steffen;
ROJAS MORA Oscar;
2010-02-15
ISRSE - International Symposium on Remote Sensing of Environment
JRC42756
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