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|Title:||Independent Model Selection for ENSEMBLE Dispersion Forecasting|
|Authors:||CIARAMELLA A.; GIUNTA G.; RICCIO Angelo; GALMARINI STEFANO|
|Citation:||Application of supervised and unsupervised ensemble methods - ISBN 978-3-642-03998-0 vol. 245 p. 213-231|
|Type:||Articles in periodicals and books|
|Abstract:||This work aims at introducing an approach to analyze the independence between different models in a multi-model ensemble context. The models are operational long-range transport and dispersion models, also used for the real-time simulation of pollutant dispersion or the accidental release of radioactive nuclides in the atmosphere. In order to compare models, an approach based on the hierarchical agglomeration of distributions of predicted radionuclide concentrations is proposed.We use two different similarity measures: Negentropy information and Kullback-Leibler divergence. These approaches are used to analyze the data obtained during the ETEX-1 exercise.|
|JRC Directorate:||Sustainable Resources|
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