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The current and future strength of the terrestrial carbon sink has a crucial influence on the expected climate warming on Earth. Usually, Earth Observation (EO) by its very nature focusses on diagnosing the current state of the planet. However, it is possible to use EO products in data assimilation systems to improve not only the diagnostics of the current state, but also the accuracy of future predictions. This contribution reports from an on-going ESA funded study in which the MERIS FAPAR product is assimilated into a terrestrial biosphere model within the global Carbon Cycle Data Assimilation System (CCDAS). Results are presented from a range of selected sites spanning the major biomes of the globe, and show how the inclusion of MERIS products results in improved accuracy of the regional carbon flux estimates. They also show the uncertainty in the predicted carbon sink of those regions for selected climate scenarios until 2039.
2008-11-07
ESA
JRC48137
https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC48137,   
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