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Speed of adjustment in cointegrated systems

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This paper discusses summary measures for the speed of adjustment in possibly cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Processes (VAR). In particular we propose long- run half-lives, based on interim and total multipliers. We discuss their relation with Granger-noncausality and other types of half-life, which are shown to convey di¤erent information, except in the univariate AR(1) case. We present likelihood-based inference on long-run half-lives, regarded as discrete functions of parameters in the VAR model. It is shown how asymptotic con¿dence regions can be de¿ned. An empirical illustration concerning speed of adjustment to purchasing-power parity is provided
2010-09-29
ELSEVIER SCIENCE SA
JRC53384
0304-4076,   
https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC53384,   
10.1016/j.jeconom.2010.03.020,   
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