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dc.contributor.authorMONFORTI-FERRARIO Fabioen_GB
dc.contributor.authorSZIKSZAI ANDRASen_GB
dc.date.accessioned2010-06-25T02:00:51Z-
dc.date.available2010-06-24en_GB
dc.date.available2010-06-25T02:00:51Z-
dc.date.created2010-06-23en_GB
dc.date.issued2010en_GB
dc.date.submitted2009-09-11en_GB
dc.identifier.citationENERGY POLICY vol. 38 no. 5 p. 2486-2498en_GB
dc.identifier.issn0301-4215en_GB
dc.identifier.uriwww.elsevier.com/locate/enpolen_GB
dc.identifier.urihttp://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC54219-
dc.description.abstractEurope's dependency on non-EU countries` energy supply is sharply increasing and in some recent occasions sudden supply disruption caused by non-EU international disputes have created serious problems in some EU countries and diffused concern in many others. In such a situation, it is highly desirable to have a tool to detect possible outcomes of supply disruptions. The paper presents a newly developed model, named MC-GENERCIS, aimed to assessing the robustness of the EU transnational gas transmission system during both normal and special operational conditions, including high demand situations and/or a supply shortage. The model has a country-by-country resolution and examines all the possible dispatching choices of national TSOs on the basis of the so-called probabilistic MonteCarlo approach. The preliminary validation of the model through its application to the ¿normal¿ conditions for winter 2008-2009 and to the recent supply disruption involving Ukrainian gas is also described.en_GB
dc.description.sponsorshipJRC.DDG.F.3-Energy securityen_GB
dc.format.mediumPrinteden_GB
dc.languageENGen_GB
dc.publisherELSEVIER SCI LTDen_GB
dc.relation.ispartofseriesJRC54219en_GB
dc.titleA MonteCarlo Approach for Assessing the Adequacy of European Gas Transmission System under Supply Crisis Conditionsen_GB
dc.typeArticles in periodicals and booksen_GB
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.enpol.2009.12.043en_GB
JRC Directorate:Energy, Transport and Climate

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