Limnologists and water resources managers have traditionally perceived lakes as
discrete geographical entities. This has resulted in a tendency for scientific lake
studies to concentrate on lakes as individuals, with little connection either to each
other or to large-scale driving forces. Since the 1990s, however, a shift in the prevailing
paradigm has occurred, with lakes increasingly being seen as responding
to regional, rather than local, driving forces. The seminal work on regional coherence
in lake behaviour was that of Magnuson et al. (1990), who showed that many
features of lakes within the same region respond coherently to drivers such as climate
forcing and catchment processes. From this study it emerged that the degree
of coherence among lakes is greatest for those properties most directly affected by
climate forcing. Specifically, the physical properties of lakes tend to vary in a more
coherent way than their chemical and biological properties (see also Kratz et al.,
1998). Further overviews of the topics of coherence and climate-driven variability,
focusing mainly on North American lakes, have been given by Magnuson et al.
(2006a, b). In this chapter, we will examine the phenomenon of spatial coherence
among time-series of some important physical, chemical and biological lake variables
at regional and supra-regional scales in Europe. Here, spatial coherence is
defined as the degree of correlation between time-series of measurements made
simultaneously at different locations (in contrast to temporal coherence, which is
defined as the degree of correlation between time-series of measurements made at
one location but at different times). The concept of coherence in this context is not
well-defined in a mathematical sense. It can be parameterised in various ways: for
instance as themean coefficient of determination (r2) calculated between all possible
lake pairs, or as the mean coefficient of determination calculated between each lake
and the mean time-series of all other lakes (e.g., Livingstone and Dokulil, 2001), or
as an intraclass correlation coefficient (e.g., Rusak et al., 1999). Regardless of the
parameterisation employed, appropriate methods to remove the effect of daily and
annual cycles were used in all examples mentioned in this chapter before computing
coherence, so that, for instance, shared seasonal patterns among lakes do not affect
the results. In the following, we use the term ¿regional¿ to refer to spatial scales corresponding
to a circle of about ten kilometres up to several hundred kilometres in
diameter, and the term ¿supra-regional¿ to refer to spatial scales any larger than this.
LIVINGSTONE David;
ADRIAN Rita;
ARVOLA Lauri;
BLENCKNER Thorsten;
DOKULIL Martin;
HARI Renata E.;
GEORGE Glen D.;
JANKOWSKI Thomas;
JARVINEN Marko;
JENNINGS Eleanor;
NOGES Peeter;
NOGES Tiina;
STRAILE Dietmar;
WEYHENMEYER Gesa;
2010-01-26
Springer Science+Business Media B.V.
JRC54777
978-90-481-2945-4,
https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC54777,
10.1007/978-90-481-2945-4_17,
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