Est Modus in Rebus: Analytical Properties of Multi-Model Ensembles
Abstract. In this paper we investigate some basic properties
of the multi-model ensemble systems, which can be deduced
from a general characteristic of statistical distributions of the
ensemble members with the help of mathematical tools. In
particular we show how to find optimal linear combination of
model results, which minimizes the mean square error both
in the case of uncorrelated and correlated models. By proving
basic estimations we try to deduce general properties describing
multi-model ensemble systems. We show also how
mathematical formalism can be used for investigation of the
characteristics of such systems.
POTEMPSKI Slawomir;
GALMARINI Stefano;
2010-01-28
COPERNICUS PUBLICATIONS
JRC56279
1680-7316,
www.atmos-chem-phys.net/9/9471/2009/,
https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC56279,
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