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|Title:||Short- and Medium-Range Hydrological Ensemble Forecasts over France|
|Authors:||THIREL GUILLAUME; REGIMBEAU Fabienne; MARTIN Eric; NOILHAN Joel; HABETS Florence|
|Citation:||ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE LETTERS vol. 11 no. 2 p. 72-77|
|Publisher:||WILEY-V C H VERLAG GMBH|
|Type:||Articles in periodicals and books|
|Abstract:||The Safran-Isba-Modcou (SIM) distributed hydro-meteorological modeling suite is developed at Météo-France. Two ensemble forecasts were tested as input to the SIM suite. The first one was the ECMWF EPS (10-day range, 1.5° grid, 51 members). Then, the Météo-France PEARP (60-h range, 0.25° grid, 11 members) was used. The methods for disaggregating the EPSs down to the 8-km Isba grid were described. Statistical analysis of the skills of these systems (for rainfall and streamflows) was performed against observations and showed the interests of using these EPSs. The PEARP-based streamflows showed better scores than the ECMWF ones, for low and high flows.|
|JRC Directorate:||Sustainable Resources|
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