Title: Identification of elements at risk for a credible tsunami event for Istanbul
Authors: HANCILAR UFUK
Citation: NATURAL HAZARDS AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES vol. 12 p. 107–119
Publisher: COPERNICUS GESELLSCHAFT MBH
Publication Year: 2012
JRC N°: JRC60510
ISSN: 1561-8633
URI: www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/12/107/2012/
http://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC60510
DOI: 10.5194/nhess-12-107-2012
Type: Articles in periodicals and books
Abstract: Physical and social elements at risk are identified for a credible tsunami event for Istanbul. For this purpose, inundation maps resulting from probabilistic tsunami hazard analysis for a 10% probability of exceedance in 50 yr are utilised in combination with the geo-coded inventories of building stock, lifeline systems and demographic data. The built environment on Istanbul’s shorelines that is exposed to tsunami inundation comprises residential, commercial, industrial, public (governmental/municipal, schools, hospitals, sports and religious), infrastructure (car parks, garages, fuel stations, electricity transformer buildings) and military buildings, as well as piers and ports, gas tanks and stations and other urban elements (e.g., recreational facilities). Along the Marmara Sea shore, Tuzla shipyards and important port and petrochemical facilities at Ambarlı are expected to be exposed to tsunami hazard. Significant lifeline systems of the city of Istanbul such as natural gas, electricity, telecommunication and sanitary and waste-water transmission, are also under the threat of tsunamis. In terms of social risk, it is estimated that there are about 32 000 inhabitants exposed to tsunami hazard.
JRC Directorate:Space, Security and Migration

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