Title: The integration of PESETA sectoral economic impacts into the GEM-E3 Europe model: methodology and results.
Authors: CISCAR MARTINEZ Juan CarlosSZABO LaszloVAN REGEMORTER DeniseSORIA RAMIREZ Antonio
Citation: CLIMATIC CHANGE vol. 112 no. 1 p. 127-142
Publisher: SPRINGER
Publication Year: 2012
JRC N°: JRC67816
ISSN: 0165-0009
URI: http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-011-0343-y
http://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC67816
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-011-0343-y
Type: Articles in periodicals and books
Abstract: The PESETA project has estimated the physical effects of climate change in 11 Europe for the following impact categories with a market valuation: agriculture, river 12 floods, coastal systems and tourism. Four alternative scenarios of future climate change 13 have been considered. The computable general equilibrium (CGE) GEM-E3 model for 14 Europe has been used to integrate the PESETA damages under a consistent economic 15 framework. The approach followed has been to assess the effects of future climate (as of 16 2080s) on today’s economy. This article details the way each sectoral impact has been 17 integrated into the CGE model. The EU welfare loss is estimated to be in a range of 0.2% to 18 1%, depending on the climate future and the projected sea level rise. Results show that the 19 Southern Europe region appears as the most vulnerable area to climate change. Impacts in 20 coastal systems, agriculture and river floods determine the overall and regional pattern of 21 impacts within Europe.
JRC Directorate:Growth and Innovation

Files in This Item:
There are no files associated with this item.


Items in repository are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.