Global patterns of land‐atmosphere fluxes of carbon dioxide, latent heat, and sensible heat derived from eddy covariance, satellite, and meteorological observations
We upscaled FLUXNET observations of carbon dioxide, water, and energy fluxes to
the global scale using the machine learning technique, model tree ensembles (MTE). We
trained MTE to predict site‐level gross primary productivity (GPP), terrestrial
ecosystem respiration (TER), net ecosystem exchange (NEE), latent energy (LE), and
sensible heat (H) based on remote sensing indices, climate and meteorological data, and
information on land use. We applied the trained MTEs to generate global flux fields at a
0.5° × 0.5° spatial resolution and a monthly temporal resolution from 1982 to 2008.
Cross‐validation analyses revealed good performance of MTE in predicting among‐site
flux variability with modeling efficiencies (MEf) between 0.64 and 0.84, except for NEE
(MEf = 0.32). Performance was also good for predicting seasonal patterns (MEf between
0.84 and 0.89, except for NEE (0.64)). By comparison, predictions of monthly
anomalies were not as strong (MEf between 0.29 and 0.52). Improved accounting of
disturbance and lagged environmental effects, along with improved characterization of
errors in the training data set, would contribute most to further reducing uncertainties. Our
global estimates of LE (158 ± 7 J × 1018 yr−1), H (164 ± 15 J × 1018 yr−1), and GPP
(119 ± 6 Pg C yr−1) were similar to independent estimates. Our global TER estimate (96 ±
6 Pg C yr−1) was likely underestimated by 5–10%. Hot spot regions of interannual
variability in carbon fluxes occurred in semiarid to semihumid regions and were controlled
by moisture supply. Overall, GPP was more important to interannual variability in NEE
than TER. Our empirically derived fluxes may be used for calibration and evaluation of land
surface process models and for exploratory and diagnostic assessments of the biosphere.
JUNG Martin;
REICHSTEIN Markus;
MARGOLIS Hank;
CESCATTI Alessandro;
RICHARDSON Andrew D.;
ARAIN Altaf M.;
ARNETH Almut;
BERNHOFER Christian;
BONAL Damien;
CHEN Jiquan;
GIANELLE Damiano;
GOBRON Nadine;
KIELY Gerald;
KUTSCH Werner L.;
LASSLOP Gitta;
LAW Beverly;
LINDROTH A.;
MERBOLD Lutz;
MONTAGNANI L.;
MOORS E.;
PAPALE Dario;
SOTTOCORNOLA Matteo;
VACCARI Francesco;
WILLIAMS Christopher;
2012-01-16
AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION
JRC67975
0148-0227,
https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC67975,
10.1029/2010JG001566,
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